New Mexico State vs Brigham Young 11/19/2011

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Brigham Young is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over New Mexico State. Jake Heaps is averaging 254 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and JJ Di Luigi is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Matt Christian averages 1.44 TD passes vs 0.96 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.65 TDs to 1.32 interceptions. Kenny Turner averages 64 rushing yards and 0.74 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 54 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Brigham Young has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BYU -22.5

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